Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 150.711213 165.561810 180.758159 197.442065 215.215113 233.553585 253.876544
2025-02-23 118.924814 140.184214 163.015002 189.231737 218.378061 249.663547 285.658256
2025-03-02 97.463335 122.757503 151.158985 185.105774 224.265440 267.717818 319.267279
2025-03-09 83.112075 111.289478 144.233898 185.024759 233.592011 288.999781 356.401781
2025-03-16 72.686154 103.012750 139.802083 186.803297 244.321156 311.504721 394.958429
2025-03-23 66.540076 99.147079 139.991948 193.581440 260.675629 340.568959 441.495425
2025-03-30 60.291684 94.352431 138.359998 197.569165 273.285997 365.048105 482.742302
2025-04-06 53.684659 88.312209 134.464091 198.111974 281.187573 383.569886 516.776096
2025-04-13 48.145475 83.128825 131.161714 198.956511 289.130476 401.969001 550.680187
2025-04-20 44.925493 80.907611 131.590008 204.536865 303.098279 427.988432 594.315412
2025-04-27 41.620254 78.201139 131.052000 208.588211 314.949185 451.345889 634.807838
2025-05-04 39.148506 76.503252 131.741653 214.189323 328.823266 477.389889 678.963442
2025-05-11 36.563963 74.478012 131.920781 219.191370 342.205400 503.337161 723.864692
2025-05-18 31.270303 67.508213 124.284348 212.641544 339.492906 508.007625 741.283491
2025-05-25 27.349930 62.409856 119.096057 209.284759 340.933568 518.039324 765.698775
2025-06-01 24.690929 59.224417 116.638659 209.759972 347.641680 535.130238 799.553711
2025-06-08 22.653546 56.941411 115.437521 211.989405 356.795920 555.590106 838.083226
2025-06-15 21.804133 56.810327 117.711756 219.558514 373.763486 586.951342 891.574963
2025-06-22 20.457453 55.559874 118.009094 223.998415 386.188656 612.171584 937.054343
2025-06-29 18.591057 53.047636 115.978832 224.628730 392.926155 629.508224 971.985171
2025-07-06 16.948592 50.797112 114.230483 225.571546 400.054973 647.405404 1007.809304
2025-07-13 16.202529 50.386593 115.683888 231.690634 415.025566 676.504682 1059.277964
2025-07-20 15.273671 49.461476 116.133431 236.128657 427.477136 702.142650 1106.203181